In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 22nd at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 38-39 this season after they split two games with the Cubs by scores of 2-16 and 8-6. In game two, Toronto trailed 5-0 in the sixth inning, but they scored the next eight runs for the comeback win. The Blue Jays recorded nine hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Varsho, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Corbin allowed six hits and three earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Hoffman picked up the win in relief. Prior to that series, Toronto won all three against the Red Sox, but lost two out of three against the Yankees before that.
This season, Toronto has a 4.13 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 316 runs with a .249 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 16 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Shane Bieber, who is making his first appearance of the season due to injury.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 37-42 this year after they won two out of three against the Guardians by scores of 9-3, 1-8, and 2-1. In game three, Houston scored one run in the first inning and one in the fourth inning in the low scoring win. The Astros recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Alvarez, who went 1-2 with one home run and one RBI. Teng allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Hader picked up the save. Prior to that series, Houston won two out of three against the Tigers and two out of three against the Royals.
This season, Houston has a 4.84 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 356 runs with a .243 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 25 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 18 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Hunter Brown, who is 1-0 with a 1.10 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 16.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last eight night games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have lost each of their last six road games against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against American League opponents.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine night games.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine games as home favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Astros have won each of their last eight Monday games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Monday home games.
- The Astros have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against the Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Monday home games.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Blue Jays.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last seven games between the Astros and Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Astros’ last four games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Astros’ last eight games as road underdogs.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the last six games between the Astros and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in each of his last three home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 home appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Shane Bieber has recorded five or more strikeouts in 16 of his 17 previous appearances with his team as a favorite against AL West opponents.
- Shane Bieber has recorded a win in seven of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last four games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.640) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (4).
- The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (562).
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for steals this season (24).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for triples this season (5).
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction
Houston comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have allowed three runs or fewer in all four of those wins. The Astros are 17-21 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 21-18 at home. Toronto has also won four of their last five games, but they have allowed 22 runs in their last two games. The Blue Jays are starting Bieber, who is making his first start of the season, while Brown has allowed one earned run or fewer in all three of his starts. Both pitchers have dealt with injuries this year, but I am going to side with the Astros, as Brown was great in his return from injury.