In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, August 4th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 58-56 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL West. They have a 29-28 home record and are coming off a 1-3 home loss against the Blue Jays. They will face the Padres and the Giants next.
The Houston Astros have a .246 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .416 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 4.63 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .330 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 84 and adding a team-high 35 home runs.
Hayden Wesneski (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Houston Astros, and he has a 1-0 record, 4.76 ERA and 1.59 WHIP.
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 53-60 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 25-29 away record and are coming off a 3-1 road win against the Astros. They will face the Phillies and the Red Sox next.
The Toronto Blue Jays have a .243 batting average this season, .304 OBP and .378 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 69 and adds a team-high 24 home runs.
Trey Yesavage (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he has a 5-5 record, 3.73 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: August 4, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Hayden Wesneski Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 4.76
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-0
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last seven games against the Blue Jays following a home loss.
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four road games following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs following a win.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games at Daikin Park.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Trey Yesavage Record this season: 5-5 ERA: 3.73
- Road Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Astros: 0-0
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Blue Jays and Astros.
- The Astros have lost each of their last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Blue Jays and Astros at Daikin Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Astros’ last six home games against American League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last six road games against AL West opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in four of the Astros’ last six games as home favorites.
- Hayden Wesneski has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents .
- Hayden Wesneski has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances in night games.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Trey Yesavage has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Trey Yesavage has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Alejandro Kirk has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Ernie Clement ranks T9th in the league in Hits (122) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (480).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (37).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (442).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (6).
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction
Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings but the Astros are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Houston.
In this Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction, the Astros are coming as -130 home favorites. The Astros were red-hot prior to yesterday’s loss and I don’t trust them with Hayden Wesneski going up against Trey Yesavage, who has been better on the road with a 3.60 ERA. The Blue Jays also have a better bullpen to relief him and I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take the Jays on the moneyline.