In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, April 16th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 9-8 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the NL Central. They have a 6-5 home record and are coming off a 2-1 home win against the Blue Jays. Their previous three games were a 7-9 home loss against the Blue Jays, and a 6-8 and a 1-3 home loss against the Nationals.
The Brewers have a .237 batting average this season, .339 OBP and .382 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Christian Yelich is the team’s best hitter with a .314 batting average. Jake Bauers leads the team in RBI with 13, and Gary Sanchez adds a team‑high 5 home runs.
Brandon Sproat (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 0-1 record, 10.45 ERA and 2.32 WHIP.
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 7-10 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the AL East. They have a 1-4 away record and are coming off a 1-2 road loss against the Brewers. Their previous three games were a 9-7 road win against the Brewers, an 2-8 home loss, and a 4-7 home loss against the Twins.
The Blue Jays have a .244 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .376 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the team’s best hitter with a .328 batting average. Andres Gimenez leads the team in RBI with 11, also adding a team‑high 3 home runs.
Patrick Corbin (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 0-0 record, 9.00 ERA and 1.75 WHIP.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: April 16, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Sproat Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 10.45
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have won eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six day games.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 9.00
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Brewers: 2-2
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last eight Thursday games as underdogs.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Blue Jays have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Blue Jays’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Blue Jays’ last six road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six day games between the Blue Jays and Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as home favorites.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Brice Turang ranks T8th in the league in Steals (6) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last four games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Patrick Corbin has recorded five strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.446) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (27).
- The Brewers rank T2nd in the league for walks this season (86).
- The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (117).
- The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (186).
Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Blue Jays and are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -130 home favorites. The Brewers finally snapped their six-game losing streak but are putting Sproat on the mound who was torched in his first start of the season. On the flip side, Patrick Corbin takes the mound for the Jays and he continued where he left off last season, giving up four runs in his first start and he has been historically much weaker on the road. The Brewers have a better bullpen ERA and a better offense and I expect them to get the job done in this one.