In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 30th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 40-45 this year after they won game one by a score of 2-1 last night. Toronto had their lead cut to 2-1 in the seventh inning, but they were able to hang on for the win. The Blue Jays recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Straw, who went 0-2 with one RBI. Yesavage allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings for the win, while Varland picked up the save. Prior to this series, Toronto lost all four against the Rangers and two out of three against the Astros.
This season, Toronto has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 345 runs with a .247 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 19 home runs and 53 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 4-6 with a 4.36 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 95.0 innings pitched this year.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 35-50 this season after they lost game one by a score of 1-2 on Monday night. New York had a huge error in the first inning that led to a run and they only scored once in the seventh in the loss. The Mets recorded five hits and they committed two errors, while they were led by Lindor, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Manaea allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Gerber threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Phillies and all four against the Cubs.
This season, New York has a 4.10 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 340 runs with a .230 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 17 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 10 home runs and 46 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 4-5 with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last nine night games following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last seven Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Tuesday night games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have lost the first inning in each of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Blue Jays have lost six of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Mets have won six of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 home games after playing the previous day.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in four of their last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last four games between the Mets and Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Mets’ last seven road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as home favorites.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight road games.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Kazuma Okamoto has hit a home run in two of the Blue Jays’ last three night games.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 Tuesday appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.
- Ernie Clement ranks T5th in the league in Hits (94) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two road games against the Blue Jays.
- Nolan McLean has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Nolan McLean has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances against AL opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
- Juan Soto ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.568) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
- The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for walks this season (235).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (103).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.299).
Blue Jays vs Mets Prediction
Toronto was able to snap their losing streak with a low scoring win on Monday and they have scored just four runs in their last two games. The Blue Jays are 23-24 at home this year, while the Mets are 16-26 on the road. New York has lost four of their last five games, with all four coming by just one run. The Mets are starting McLean, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Gausman has allowed 4+ earned runs in four of his last five outings. Take the Mets in this one.