The Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Blue Jays vs Orioles Pick.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 31-34 on the year and play the Mariners and Padres next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .241 on the season and have a .321 OBP and a .399 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 61 hits and 32 RBI, while Taylor Ward and Pete Alonso have combined for 121 hits and 58 RBI.
Shane Baz gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 3-5 with a 4.29 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season. Baz is 4-0 with a 2.23 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 31-34 on the year and play the Phillies and Yankees next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .249 on the season and have a .313 OBP and a .385 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 76 hits and 25 RBI, while Daulton Varsho and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 120 hits and 42 RBI.
Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 4-4 with a 3.36 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. Gausman is 3-4 with a 4.53 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last eight day games against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Orioles have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games at Rogers Centre against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 12 home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won four of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Orioles’ last five games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Kevin Gausman’s last six appearances as a starter.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Orioles’ last nine day games against American League opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against former teams.
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Ernie Clement ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (76) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Colton Cowser has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 18 games as road underdogs.
- Taylor Ward ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.398) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (4).
- The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (466).
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.263).
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (584).
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction
The Blue Jays have played their best ball at home this season, and Gausman has pitched his best at home. In 40.1 innings, Gausman has a 2.90 ERA and a .237 batting average allowed. The Orioles have had success with Baz on the mound, but he’s been hittable overall this season with a 4.29 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, and .260 batting average allowed. The price isn’t anything crazy. I’m riding with the Blue Jays based on the pitching matchup and their home success.