In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, May 29th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 26-31 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the AL East. They have a 17-14 home record and are coming off a 1-2 home defeat against the Blue Jays. They will face the Red Sox and the Blue Jays next.
The Orioles have a .237 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.63 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .256 batting average. Pete Alonso leads the team in RBI with 33, while Gunnar Henderson adds a team-high 13 home runs.
Trevor Rogers (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 2-6 record, 6.96 ERA and 1.62 WHIP.
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 28-29 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the AL East. They have a 11-16 away record and are coming off a 2-1 road win against the Orioles. They will face the Braves and the Orioles next.
The Blue Jays have a .242 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .375 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .293 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 29, adding a team-high 11 home runs.
The Blue Jays have not yet announced a starting pitcher for this game.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: May 29, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers Record this season: 2-6 ERA: 6.96
- Home Record: 2-4
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won nine of their last 10 games against the Blue Jays following a home loss.
- The Blue Jays have lost six of their last seven games against the Orioles following a road win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against the Orioles following a win.
- The Orioles have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Blue Jays.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Friday night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have won each of the Orioles’ last five games.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Orioles’ last six games as favorites against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Orioles’ last eight night games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last three night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Friday appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight night games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.260).
- The Orioles rank T28th in the league for hits allowed this season (508).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (2).
- The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (411).
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction
The Jays have won their last five meetings against the Orioles and their last two visits in Baltimore.
In this Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. The Jays have been dominating the Orioles in their recent meetings and they will face a struggling Trevor Rogers who has lost each of his last six starts and has 17 earned runs across his last three starts. On top of that, the Jays have a superior bullpen, they are 7-2 in their last 9 games and have just one earned run in each of their last three games, so I expect them to get the job done and win this one on the road.