The Pittsburgh Pirates and Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Blue Jays vs. Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Blue Jays vs. Pirates Pick.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 26-26 on the year and play the Twins and Cubs next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .251 on the season and have a .332 OBP, and a .385 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Nick Gonzales leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 53 hits and 21 RBIs, while Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds have combined for 98 hits and 65 RBIs.
Mitch Keller gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 4-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. Keller is 1-1 with a 5.79 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 25-27 on the year and play the Marlins and Orioles next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .243 on the season and have a .307 OBP, and a .374 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 58 hits and 17 RBI while Daulton Varsho and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 101 hits and 38 RBI.
Dylan Cease gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 3-2 with a 2.98 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. Cease is 1-1 with a 3.54 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last six road games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last seven Sunday games against NL Central opponents.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have won the first inning in each of their last five Sunday games as home favorites.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven day games against National League opponents.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Pirates have won seven of their last eight road games following a road loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.
- The Pirates have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last four day games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Pirates’ last six road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 14 of Dylan Cease’s last 15 home appearances as a starter.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last four games against AL East opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- George Springer has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against the Pirates.
- Dylan Cease has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL opponents.
- Dylan Cease has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine games against NL opponents.
- Dylan Cease ranks T3rd in the league for total Strikeouts (84) this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Mitch Keller has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Mitch Keller has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances with the Pirates as road underdogs against AL opponents.
- Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in five of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous road appearances against the Blue Jays.
- Oneil Cruz is one of only two players to record 10+ Home Runs and 10+ Stolen Bases this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (2).
- The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (371).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (453).
- The Pirates rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (482).
Blue Jays vs Pirates Prediction
Right when it looked like the Blue Jays were cooked and going to have a disappointing season, they’ve caught fire at home and are just two games out of a .500 record. Cease looks like an all-star with a 2.98 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, and he’s top five in strikeouts. In 30 home innings, Cease has a 2.10 ERA and a .204 allowed batting average. I’m not stepping in front of Toronto in this spot. The price is somewhat reasonable. Give me the Blue Jays to stay hot.