In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 14th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 20-21 this year after they lost game one by a score of 11-9 on Tuesday night. Toronto trailed 6-3 late in the game, but they took a 7-6 lead into the ninth, before allowing five runs for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Varsho, who went 2-5 with two home runs and four RBIs in the loss. Toronto started Berrios, who allowed five hits and five earned runs over over 5.1 innings, while Hoffman blew the save by allowing four hits and five earned runs in the ninth.
Prior to this series, the Blue Jays swept the Mariners in three games, but did lose two out of three against the Angels before that. Toronto has won four of their last five games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 165 runs with a .251 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. George Springer has led Toronto with five home runs and 18 RBIs, while Anthony Santander has added five home runs and 16 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 3-2 with a 3.35 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 45.2 innings pitched this year.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 19-22 this season after they lost the first game in this series on Tuesday night. Tampa Bay led 4-0 and 6-3, but they needed five runs in the ninth inning to escape with the win. The Rays recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Caminero, who went 1-5 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Baz, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Uceta allowed two hits and three earned runs in relief, but still managed to get the win.
Prior to this series, the Rays won two out of three against the Brewers, but did get swept by the Phillies before that. Tampa Bay has won three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 161 runs with a .242 batting average and a .310 on base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with eight home runs and 20 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added six home runs and 20 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Ryan Pepiot, who is 2-4 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 44.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Rays will beat the Blue Jays
- The Rays have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs.
- The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Rays and Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Rogers Centre.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Rays’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Rays and Blue Jays.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Rays’ last seven road games.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Daulton Varsho has hit at least one home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games against AL East opponents.
- Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in 10 of his last 11 Wednesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in nine of the Blue Jays’ last 10 night games.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 home appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine home games.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
- Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in four of the Rays’ last five night games.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Wednesday night appearances with the Rays as underdogs.
- Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
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Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay was able to get a wild win in game one of this series, but both teams should have plenty of confidence at the plate after Tuesday night’s game. The Rays are 8-5 on the road this season, while the Blue Jays are 11-9 at home. Toronto has scored at least six runs in five straight games and they are going against Pepiot, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. Tampa Bay is going up against Bassitt, who has allowed four earned runs in three of his last four starts. I don’t love how Bassitt has looked in recent outings, so I will back the Rays on the road here.