In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, June 18th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Boston Red Sox Preview
The Boston Red Sox have a 29-42 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 12-24 home record and are coming off a 0-3 home defeat against the Blue Jays. They will face the Mariners and the Rockies next.
The Red Sox have a .245 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .381 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Willson Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .294 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 43 and adding a team-high 16 home runs.
Sonny Gray (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 8-1 record, 3.03 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 36-38 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 15-20 road record and are coming off a 3-0 road win against the Red Sox. They will face the Cubs and the Astros next.
The Blue Jays have a .249 batting average this season, .313 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 42, adding a team-high 15 home runs.
Trey Yesavage (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 3-3 record, 3.78 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox Betting Trends: June 18, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sonny Gray Record this season: 8-1 ERA: 3.03
- Home Record: 4-0
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 1-1
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last eight day games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The favorites have covered the run line in five of the Blue Jays’ last six games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Trey Yesavage Record this season: 3-3 ERA: 3.78
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Red Sox: 1-0
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against the Red Sox.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against the Red Sox.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Thursday home games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against the Red Sox.
- The Red Sox have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Blue Jays’ last six road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Sonny Gray’s last 11 appearances as a starter against the Blue Jays.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven day games against AL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Willson Contreras has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Sonny Gray has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
- Sonny Gray has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
- Sonny Gray ranks T4th in the league for Wins (8) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Ernie Clement ranks 5th in the league in Hits (84) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (279).
- The Red Sox rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (268).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (4).
- The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (543).
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction
The Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Red Sox and are 4-1 in their last 5 visits in Boston.
In this Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -130 home favorites. Both pitchers have been excellent with a combined 6.81 ERA and their home/away splits are even better, with a combined 4.03 home/away ERA. The Red Sox have the third-best bullpen in baseball and the previous two games in this series had 7 and 3 total runs. Take the under 8.5 in this one.