In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 27th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 12-15 this year after they won two out of three against the Guardians by scores of 6-8, 5-3, and 4-2. In game three, Toronto blew a 2-0 lead in the fifth inning, but they scored twice in the sixth to get the win. The Blue Jays recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Sanchez, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Corbin allowed six hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Fisher got the win and Varland picked up the save. Prior to that series, Toronto won two out of three against the Angels, but lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks before that.
This season, Toronto has a 4.45 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 110 runs with a .255 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Andres Gimenez has led the Blue Jays with three home runs and 16 RBIs, while Jesus Sanchez has added four home runs and 15 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Dylan Cease, who is 1-0 with a 2.10 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 25.2 innings pitched this year.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 11-17 this season after they won two out of three against the Orioles by scores of 3-10, 17-1, and 5-3. In game three, Boston had their lead cut to 3-1 in the fifth inning, but they scored twice in the sixth to seal the win. The Red Sox recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Contreras, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Early allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Chapman got the save. Prior to that series, Boston lost all three against the Yankees and split four games with the Tigers.
This season, Boston has a 4.38 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 117 runs with a .233 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Wilson Contreras has led the Red Sox with six home runs and 19 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added two home runs and 17 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Ranger Suarez, who is 1-2 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 27.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last nine home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last six night games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 night games against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six home games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have won the first inning in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against AL East opponents.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last three games as favorites against the Red Sox following a win.
- The Red Sox have won 10 of their last 12 games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a win.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Red Sox following a win.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in 15 of their last 18 games as underdogs against the Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home night games.
- The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games at Rogers Centre.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Red Sox’s last 11 road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Blue Jays’ last six home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Red Sox’s last 12 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances.
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Ernie Clement ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (36) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Roman Anthony has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog .
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Blue Jays.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (188).
- The Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for steals this season (11).
- The Red Sox rank T28th in the league for home runs this season (19).
- The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.356).
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction
Both of these teams are coming off of a series win over the weekend, but Boston just fired their manager, so it will be interesting to see how they respond. The Red Sox are 6-9 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 8-7 at home. Toronto is starting Cease, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, while Suarez has allowed 4, 0, 0, 4, and 4 earned runs in his five outings. Suarez has been very inconsistent for the Red Sox this year, so I will back Toronto at home.