In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, October 8th at the Yankee Stadium in Game 4 of this ALDS series, with the Blue Jays having the 2-1 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Preview
The New York Yankees have a 97-71 record this season and were placed second in the AL East. The Yankees have a 53-32 home record and are 79-84 in over/under. They are coming off a 9-6 home victory over the Blue Jays in Game 3, that ended their two-game losing streak. Under is 5-3 in their last 8 games.
The Yankees have a .251 batting average this season, .332 OBP and .455 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 11 hits in the postseason, and he is the team’s best hitter, with a .500 batting average. He also leads the team both in RBI, with 6 and in home runs, with one.
Cam Schlittler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees, and he has a 1-0 record, 0.00 ERA and 0.63 WHIP in the postseason.
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 96-69 record this season and were placed first in the AL East. They have a 40-42 road record, and are 89-71 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-9 road defeat by the Yankees, that ended their six-game winning streak. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 games.
The Blue Jays have a .265 batting average this season, .333 OBP and .427 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 8 hits, adding a team-high 8 RBI and 3 home runs. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .636 batting average.
Reliever Louis Varland (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 0-1 record, 6.75 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: October 8, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cam Schlittler Record this season (inc. playoffs): 5-3 ERA: 2.67
- Home Record: 5-2
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven road playoff games.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road playoff games.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Wednesday night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Louie Varland Record this season (inc. playoffs): 4-4 ERA: 3.11
- Road Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Yankees: 0-1
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a win.
- The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight Wednesday night games as underdogs against the Yankees.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Blue Jays following a win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games.
- The Blue Jays have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last four home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven night games between the Blue Jays and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 10 games as favorites.
- Amed Rosario has recorded a Double in four of his five previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Blue Jays.
- Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.331) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded two or more hits in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games against the Yankees.
- George Springer ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (849).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (274).
- The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1461).
- The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.265).
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction
The Blue Jays are 9-4 in their last 13 meetings against the Yankees, but the Yankees are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in New York. Their last three meetings have gone over the total.
In this Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -185 home favorites. The Yankees avoided elimination with a comeback win yesterday, after they were down 1-6. They are putting Cam Schlittler on the mound, who was amazing in his postseason debut, shutting down the Red Sox, and he has been in excellent form, having won his last 5 starts, and has just one earned run in his last three starts. The Yankees have a better offense and the Blue Jays are going for a bullpen game, so the value here is with the home team. The play is the Yankees on the moneyline.