The Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox meet Saturday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Red Sox vs Astros Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Houston Astros will send out Colton Gordon for the start here, and Gordon is 4-3 with a 4.74 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. This will be Gordon’s first career start against the Red Sox. Walker Buehler will get the start for the Red Sox, and Buehler is 6-6 with a 5.72 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. In his career, Buehler is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros come into this game looking to rebound from a 2-1 loss at the hands of the Boston Red Sox last time out to sit at 62-48 on the year. After this series, the Astros will head on the road for a series against the Miami Marlins.
Astros Drop 6 Of Their Last 8
Jose Altuve has 114 hits, including 17 doubles, 18 home runs, and 57 RBIs. Jeremy Pena also has 102 hits with 18 doubles, 11 homers, and 40 RBIs with 15 stolen bases as well. Jake Meyers has 15 doubles as well, and Christian Walker has 13 home runs and 55 RBIs but has also accrued a team-high 116 strikeouts so far this season. Altuve also has 6 stolen bases, while Jake Meyers has 14 stolen bases this season. Isaac Paredes also has a team-high 19 home runs with 50 RBIs of his own, and Cam Smith has contributed 7 homers and 45 RBIs.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven home games against the Astros following a home win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jose Altuve has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Astros as underdogs.
- Jake Meyers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in four of the Astros’ last five games as road underdogs against the Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Recap
The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to build on their win over the Astros from Friday’s matchup to sit at 60-51 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will welcome the Kansas City Royals to town.
Red Sox Win 3 Straight & 5 Of Last 6
Alex Bregman has 73 hits, including 20 doubles, along with 14 home runs and 44 RBIs this season. Trevor Story added 102 hits with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs, and 17 stolen bases, while Jarren Duran has 116 hits with 29 doubles, 12 triples, 11 home runs, 60 RBIs, and a team-high 18 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell added 51 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers, and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 20 home runs with 57 RBIs and 6 stolen bases, and Ceddanne Rafaela has 14 homers, 21 doubles, 2 triples, 49 RBIs, and 14 stolen bases this season.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last 10 home games after playing the previous day.
- The Astros have lost eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in five of their last six games.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Walker Buehler has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his seven previous home appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 12 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox’s last four games against AL opponents.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against AL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Astros’ last seven road games following an extra-innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Red Sox vs Astros Prediction
I’m on the over here. I just think this has the makings of a higher-scoring game, as Buehler vs. Gordon isn’t the most trustworthy matchup for the marquee. The bats came out a little slow on Friday, but I think we break out the bats on Saturday and get the fireworks going. Give me the over in this one.