Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 7-14-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 14th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

Red Sox are Charging in the East 

The Boston Red Sox are 52-42 this year and they have won four of their last six games. Boston lost the first game in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 5-0. Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Athletics, won two out of three against the Yankees, and swept the Marlins in three games. Boston is 9-3 in their last 12 games and they are third in the AL East. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 441 runs with a .254 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .249 with 11 home runs and 52 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has scored at least five runs in three of their last five games. 

Royals Winning Streak Snapped 

The Kansas City Royals are 52-44 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Kansas City won game one in this series by a score of 6-1 on Friday, but they lost game two on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Royals won both games against the Cardinals, lost two out of three against the Rockies, and lost two out of three against the Rays. Kansas City is 4-4 in their last eight games and they are third in the AL Central. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 438 runs with a .246 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .324 with 16 home runs and 63 RBI’s for the Royals this season. Kansas City has scored six runs or more in four of their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Brady Singer, who is 5-5 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 101.1 innings pitched this year. Singer has allowed exactly one earned run in each of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 9-5 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched this season. Bello has allowed four earned runs or more in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Royals will beat the Red Sox

• The Red Sox have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have won four of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Royals’ last 10 day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Red Sox’s last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last nine games as road underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last three games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Tyler O’Neill has recorded at least one hit in each of his seven previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against AL opponents.
• Rafael Devers has hit at least one home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Tyler O’Neill has recorded at least one total base in each of his seven previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Triston Casas has scored a run in each of his last eight Sunday appearances.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last four day games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 10 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last eight games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Isbel has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Royals as road underdogs.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Royals’ last 10 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Kyle Isbel has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Royals’ last nine games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Isbel has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances with the Royals as underdogs against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

Boston bounced back with a dominating win in game two of this series on Saturday and they are only 4.5 games behind the Yankees and Orioles in the AL East. The Red Sox have been one of the best teams in baseball since May, but they are just 23-25 at home, while the Royals are 21-26 on the road. Kansas City started the season red hot, but they have cooled off over the last month. Singer has been very good in his last few starts for KC, while Bello has struggled to find his groove. I still don’t trust Bello, especially against a solid offense, so my Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals prediction is for the Royals to win.