The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox meet Thursday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Yankees will send out Will Warren for the start here and Warren is 8-6 with a 4.22 ERA and 158 strikeouts this season. In his career, Warren is 1-1 with an 8.68 ERA and 9 strikeouts against Boston. The Boston Red Sox will trot out Garrett Crochet here and Crochet is 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and 228 strikeouts this season. In his career, Crochet is 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA and 27 strikeouts against the Yankees.
New York Yankees Recap
The New York Yankees come into this series looking to add on to their 5-3 win over Boston from Saturday’s matchup to sit at 83-65 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.
Yankees Win Three In A Row
Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 161 hits including 47 home runs, 101 RBIs, 28 doubles and a .325 batting average along with 11 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe’s also had 29 doubles with 16 stolen bases, 19 home runs and 70 RBIs while Jasson Dominguez has added 17 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 125 hits with 30 doubles and a .277 batting average while Volpe also has 140 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 104 hits with 24 doubles, 23 home runs and 56 RBIs while Cody Bellinger has 28 homers with 93 RBIs and Austin Wells has 21 home runs and 66 RBIs with Bellinger logging 25 doubles and Wells chipping in 19 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 30 home runs and 64 RBIs and Jazz Chisholm Jr. has 29 home runs and 75 RBIs so far this season.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The Yankees have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a win.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Jose Caballero ranks 1st in the league in Steals (46) this season.
Boston Red Sox Recap
The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Yankees on Saturday to sit at 81-68 this season. After this series, the Red Sox will head home for a series against the Athletics.
Red Sox Looking To Avoid Sweep
Alex Bregman has 109 hits including 27 doubles along with 16 home runs and 60 RBIs this season. Trevor Story’s added 145 hits with 24 home runs, 91 RBIs and 28 stolen bases while Jarren Duran has 147 hits with 39 doubles, 12 triples, 15 home runs, 80 RBIs and a team-high 23 stolen bases. Roman Anthony’s added 75 hits with 18 doubles, 8 home runs and 32 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 22 home runs with 69 RBIs and 6 stolen bases and Ceddanne Rafaela has 16 homers, 29 doubles, 3 triples, 60 RBIs and 19 stolen bases this season.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won eight of their last 10 home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have lost seven of their last nine night games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Yankees and Red Sox.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games following a road win.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 Sunday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against the Yankees.
- Garrett Crochet ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (228) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last six games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction
I’m on the Red Sox here. I think this is where you need Garrett Crochet to be your stopper if you’re the Red Sox, and he gets a solid matchup against a Yankee team he’s had success against this season while the Yankees send out Will Warren, who has struggled against Boston and struggled on the road this season. Must win spot for Boston here, I’ll side with the Red Sox.