In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 9th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Red Sox are Red Hot
The Boston Red Sox are 49-40 this year and they have won six of their last seven games. Boston is coming off of a series win against the Yankees, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Red Sox swept the Marlins, lost two out of three against the Padres, and split two games with the Blue Jays. Boston is 9-4 in their last 13 games and they are third in the AL East.
The Boston pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 414 runs with a .252 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .293 with 21 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has allowed three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games.
Athletics are Fighting
The Oakland Athletics are 34-58 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Oakland is coming off of a series loss against Baltimore, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Athletics swept the Angels in three games, lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, and lost all three against the Angels. Oakland is 5-4 in their last nine games and they are last in the AL West.
The Oakland pitching staff has a 4.34 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .257 opponent batting average. The Athletics offense has scored 347 runs with a .224 batting average and a .295 on base percentage. Brent Rooker is batting .278 with 18 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Athletics this season. Oakland has scored at least five runs in four of their last six games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 8-5 with a 5.19 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 78.0 innings pitched this year. Bello has allowed four earned runs or more in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Oakland is Joey Estes, who is 3-3 with a 4.39 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 55.1 innings pitched this season. Estes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts and is coming off of a complete game shutout against the Angels.
Why the Athletics will beat the Red Sox
- The Red Sox have lost 10 of their last 11 Tuesday games as home favorites.
- The Athletics have won three of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games following a road win.
- The Athletics have covered the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three Tuesday night games as home favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Athletics’ last six night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Athletics’ last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five games as home favorites.
- Connor Wong has recorded a Single in each of his last seven home appearances.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games as favorites.
- Tyler O’Neill has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances.
Oakland Athletics Player Prop Facts
- Brent Rooker has hit a home run in four of the Athletics’ last five night games.
- Shea Langeliers has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Shea Langeliers has scored a run in each of the Athletics’ last five night games.
- Shea Langeliers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tyler Nevin has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Tyler Nevin has recorded a Single in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics Prediction
Boston comes into this game playing very well over the last six weeks and they are hanging around in the AL East. The Red Sox are just 20-23 at home this year, but they have plenty of momentum coming into this series. Oakland is 12-33 on the road this season, as they are one of the worst road teams in the MLB. The Athletics are starting Joey Estes, who has been fantastic in his last two starts. The Red Sox are going with Brayan Bello, who has an ERA over five on the season and is nowhere near last year’s form. The pitching matchup favors the Athletics, and while I don’t want to go against Boston, my Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics prediction is for Oakland to get the road win.