The Philadelphia Phillies and the Boston Red Sox meet Thursday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Aaron Nola for the start here and Nola is 8-2 with a 2.77 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. In his career, Nola is 1-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 31 strikeouts against the Red Sox. The Boston Red Sox will trot out Tanner Houck for the start here and Houck is 6-5 with a 1.91 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. This will be Houck’s second career start against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this one looking to bounce back and win the rubber match of the series after an 8-6 loss in Wednesday’s matchup evened the set up at one win apiece. The Phillies losing on Wednesday puts them at risk of having their series unbeaten run snapped with a split against the Mets and wins against the Brewers and Cardinals over the last week and a half ahead of a weekend series in Baltimore.
Phillies Still Solid At The Dish Despite Loss
Alec Bohm leads the Phillies with 72 hits including 23 doubles, a .286 batting average and a team-high 52 RBIs while Bryce Harper has a team-high 15 home runs with 46 RBIs and Bryson Stott has a team-high 18 stolen bases. Trea Turner has 10 doubles with 10 stolen bases as well and Kyle Schwarber has 13 home runs, 38 RBIs and a team-high 85 strikeouts as well this season. Johan Rojas also has 14 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Red Sox have lost eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have won seven of their last eight night games following a loss.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against the Red Sox following a loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against the Phillies following a win.
Boston Red Sox Recap
The Boston Red Sox will try to win the series after their victory in Wednesday’s matchup. The win gives the Red Sox a chance to snap their run of series splits after splitting with the White Sox and Braves over the last week ahead of a rivalry series with the Yankees this weekend.
Red Sox Trying To Find Consistency
Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 75 hits along with 15 stolen bases, 18 doubles, 10 triples and 67 strikeouts and also has 28 RBIs so far this season. Wilyer Abreu has 14 doubles and Ceddanne Rafaela also has a team-leading 37 RBIs while Rafael Devers has 59 hits with 12 doubles, 13 home runs, 32 RBIs and a .282 batting average this season.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last 12 night games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents following a home win.
Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I’m on the under here. I think this has the makings of a rock solid pitcher’s duel, from the starters in Nola, who has a sub-two road ERA this season and Houck, who has a sub-two ERA overall this year, and a pair of solid bullpens as well. I think we saw all the runs come out on Wednesday, but everything scales back here. Give me the under.