In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 29th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Red Sox are Allowing Too Many Runs
The Boston Red Sox are 43-38 this year and they have lost two games in a row. Boston lost game one in this series on Friday night and they allowed nine runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Red Sox split two games with Toronto, won two out of three against the Reds, and swept the Blue Jays. Boston is 8-3 in their last 11 games and they are third in the AL East.
The Boston pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 376 runs with a .253 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .287 with 17 home runs and 43 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has allowed 28 runs in their last four games and they have allowed nine runs in each of their last two.
Padres are Trying to Extend Winning Streak
The San Diego Padres are 45-41 this season and they have won four games in a row. San Diego won game one of this series by a score of 9-2 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Padres swept the Nationals in three games, won three out of four against the Brewers, and lost two out of three against the Phillies. San Diego is 8-1 in their last nine games and they are second in the NL West standings.
The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 400 runs with a .261 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Jurickson Profar is batting .316 with 11 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Padres this season. San Diego has scored at least seven runs in six of their last eight games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 7-5 with a 2.18 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 103.1 innings pitched this year. Houck has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 5-5 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 93.2 innings pitched this season. King has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow five earned runs last time out against Milwaukee.
Why the Padres will beat the Red Sox
- The Padres have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 games.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last six games as favorites.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last seven games as road underdogs.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances.
- Connor Wong has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last eight home games.
- Rafael Devers has hit at least one home run in five of the Red Sox’s last six games as home favorites.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last five home games.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- David Peralta has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Red Sox.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances against the Red Sox.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one total base in each of his 13 previous appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances at Fenway Park.
- Jake Cronenworth has scored at least one run in seven of the Padres’ last eight games.
Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres Prediction
Both of these teams have played very well over the last two weeks, but San Diego has been one of the hottest teams in the MLB. The Padres have won eight of their last nine games and their offense is red hot. Boston has also played well recently, but their pitching staff has struggled over the last few games. The Red Sox are starting Houck, who has been one of the better pitchers in the AL this season. The Padres are going with King, who has been a little inconsistent this year. This should be a very good game to watch, but I think it’s worth taking the Padres with the plus money. My Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres prediction is for San Diego to win.