Tampa Bay Rays (21-21) vs. Boston Red Sox (21-20)
May 14, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -128 / Tampa Bay Rays +109; Over/Under: 10
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction for this MLB Game on Tuesday, May 14th at Fenway Park.
Rays Look to Move Above .500
The Rays moved back to .500 on Monday with their 5-3 win over the Red Sox. At the end of the first inning the Rays were tied 3-3 but they didn’t give up a run the rest of the game. Amed Rosario finished with two hits and three RBIs. The Rays are averaging 4.07 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.85 runs per game. The offense is ranked 20th in the league while the pitching is ranked 25th in the league. They have a batting average of .244 which is 12th best in the league. Isaac Paredes has hit eight home runs and driven in 22 RBIs. Getting the start for the Rays will be Aaron Civale who sits with a 2-3 record and an ERA of 5.88. In his last start against the White Sox, he went 4.2 innings giving up five hits and two runs.
Red Sox Look to Bounce Back
The Red Sox scored only three runs in the first inning on Monday, and that led to the defeat. Tyler O’Neil hit a home run and drove in three runs. The Red Sox are averaging 4.3 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.48 runs per game. The offense is ranked 16th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 2nd. This Red Sox pitching has really impressed, and they are going to need the pitching to be strong here. Connor Wong has hit five home runs and driven in 14 RBIs. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Nick Pivetta who sits with a 1-2 record and an ERA of 3.60. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, he went four innings giving up seven hits and five runs.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Rays have lost each of their last four road games following a win.
- The Red Sox have won four of their last five games following a home loss.
- The favorites have covered the run line in seven of the Rays’ last eight games at Fenway Park.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a win.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Nick Pivetta has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
- Rafael Devers has scored a run in five of his last six appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites against the Rays.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
- Rafael Devers has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox’s last three games.
- Trevor Story has hit a home run in four of his five previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Rays.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in four of his five previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Rays.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances in night games.
- Tyler O’Neill ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.584) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Josh Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL East opponents.
- Josh Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances against AL East opponents.
- Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Yandy Diaz has scored at least one run in each of his last eight road appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine road appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Boston Red Sox rank T1st in the league for triples this season (10).
- The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.80).
- The Tampa Bay Rays rank T29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (55).
- The Tampa Bay Rays are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
I really don’t trust Civale, and he’s going to really struggle again here. Civale sits with an ERA of 5.88 and the Red Sox are going to have no issue running up the score here. Pivetta sits with an EAR of 3.60, and he’s going to step up in a big way here. The Rays are going to really struggle here and that will be the difference here as the Red Sox are going to get the job done. Back the Red Sox on the money line.
