Tampa Bay Rays (80-81) vs. Boston Red Sox (80-80)
September 29, 2024 3:05 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -104 / Tampa Bay Rays -114; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article, we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 29th, at Fenway Park.
Rays Offense Was Strong
The Rays’ offense was strong on Saturday, scoring seven runs and that was enough for the victory. Junior Camerino hit a home run and drove in three RBIs. Josh Lowe also finished with one hit, one walk, and two RBIs. The Rays are averaging 3.75 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.09 runs per game. The offense is ranked 29th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 8th. They have a negative run differential of -0.35 which is 21st in the league. Yandy Diaz has hit 14 home runs and driven in 65 RBIs so far this season.
Getting the start for the Rays will be Ryan Pepiot who sits with an 8-7 record and an ERA of 3.45. In his last start against the Detroit Tigers he went five innings giving up three hits and two runs.
Why the Rays Will Beat the Red Sox
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven day games against the Rays at Fenway Park following a home loss.
- The Rays have won each of their last six games against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 11 road games against the Red Sox.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games against the Rays at Fenway Park following a home loss.
Red Sox Look to Finish Season Strong
The Red Sox scored only two runs on Saturday and that wasn’t enough as they lost by five runs. Triston Casas hit a home run. The Red Sox are averaging 4.65 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.63 runs per game. The offense is ranked 9th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 23rd. Tyler O’Neil has hit 31 home runs and driven in 61 RBIs so far this season. In this game if the Red Sox want to find success, they are going to need the offense out to a fast start.
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
The Red Sox bats struggled on Saturday, and it’s going to be no different here. Ryan Pepiot sits with an ERA of 3.54 and in his last start he gave up only two runs. The Red Sox are going to really struggle to get quality at bats off of him. The Rays are averaging only 3.75 runs per game, butt they are going to score enough here to come out on top. Back the Rays on the money line to cash here.
