In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 24th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Red Sox are Rolling
The Boston Red Sox are 42-36 this year and they have won seven of their last eight games. Boston is coming off of a series win against Cincinnati, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Red Sox swept the Blue Jays in three games, won two out of three against the Yankees, and won two out of three against the Phillies. Boston is 9-2 in their last 11 games and they are third in the AL East.
The Boston pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 363 runs with a .254 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Jarren Duran is batting .288 with seven home runs and 36 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has scored at least four runs in seven of their last eight games.
Blue Jays Looking to Snap Losing Streak
The Toronto Blue Jays are 35-42 this season and they have lost six games in a row. Toronto is coming off of a series loss against Cleveland, where they lost all three games by scores of 7-1, 6-3, and 6-5. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost all three against the Red Sox, won two out of three against the Guardians, and lost two out of three against the Brewers. Toronto is 3-9 in their last 12 games and they are last in the AL East standings.
The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 296 runs with a .232 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Justin Turner is batting .242 with five home runs and 22 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has allowed at least six runs in six of their last seven games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 7-5 with a 2.14 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 96.2 innings pitched this year. Houck has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 6-6 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 84.1 innings pitched this season. Bassitt has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.
Why the Boston Red Sox will beat the Toronto Blue Jays
- The Red Sox have won each of their last nine games against the Blue Jays following a win.
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six games.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Blue Jays following a win.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Red Sox’s last six home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six home games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last three night games.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of his last eight home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in five of the Red Sox’s last eight games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Blue Jays’ last six road games against the Red Sox.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four road games against AL East opponents.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last 13 road games against AL opponents.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 13 road games against AL opponents.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents.
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Boston rolls into this series playing very well and they have plenty of confidence, as they just swept Toronto last weekend. The Red Sox are 18-20 at home, while the Blue Jays are 17-23 on the road. The Blue Jays are trying to snap their losing streak, but their pitching has been a mess. Toronto will have Chris Bassitt on the mound here, who has actually been very good in recent outings. Boston is going with Tanner Houck, who has been one of the better pitchers in the MLB this season. The Red Sox are playing great baseball right now and I can’t go against them. My Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction is for Boston to win.