In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Astros Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, September 20th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 77-78 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL West. They have a 39-41 home record and are coming off a 3-6 home loss against the Braves. They will face the Mariners and the Athletics next.
The Houston Astros have a .240 batting average this season, .313 OBP and .410 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 4.53 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .312 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 99 and adding a team-high 40 home runs.
Hunter Brown (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros, and he has a 6-3 record, 3.43 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 91-64 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 40-37 away record and are coming off a 6-3 road win against the Astros. They will face the Reds and the Marlins next.
The Atlanta Braves have a .248 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .412 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 89, adding a team-high 40 home runs.
Martin Perez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 9-9 record, 3.07 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: September 20, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Hunter Brown Record this season: 6-3 ERA: 3.43
- Home Record: 4-2
- Last 5 against Braves: 1-1
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have lost eight of their last 10 road games following a win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Astros have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games at Daikin Park against NL East opponents.
- The Astros have won the first inning in each of their last three day games at Daikin Park.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Martin Perez Record this season: 9-9 ERA: 3.07
- Road Record: 4-5
- Last 5 against Astros: 1-0
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last six road games against the Astros.
- The Astros have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against NL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Astros’ last eight games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Braves’ last six day games against AL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Astros’ last nine day games.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Isaac Paredes has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last three games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Hunter Brown has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Astros as favorites.
- Hunter Brown has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against NL opponents.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.597) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three road games against the Astros.
- Martin Perez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
- Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last eight games.
- Matt Olson ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (40) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for steals this season (46).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (622).
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (12).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (446).
Braves vs Astros Prediction
The Braves are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Astros and have won their last five visits in Houston.
In this Braves vs Astros Prediction, the Astros are coming as -135 home favorites. I like the Braves to keep rolling in this one, even though the Astros need this game more. Both pitchers have been in good form, but the Astros have been weaker against left-handed pitching and have been struggling lately, as they are 2-6 in their last 8 games, having scored three runs or less in five of their six losses. The Braves have the third-best bullpen ERA in baseball this season and I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take the Braves to win for plus money.