The Houston Astros and Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Astros Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Astros Pick.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 81-68 on the year and play the Rangers, Mariners, and Athletics next. The Houston Astros are batting .252 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 146 hits and 70 RBI, while Jeremy Pena and Christian Walker have combined for 269 hits and 136 RBI.
Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 12-9 with a 3.42 ERA and 171 strikeouts this season. This will be Valdez’s second career game against the Atlanta Braves.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 65-83 on the year and play the Nationals, Tigers, and Nationals next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .242 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and a .391 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.47 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 153 hits and 82 RBI while Ozzie Albies and Michael Harris II have combined for 268 hits and 144 RBI.
Joey Wentz gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 5-6 with a 5.61 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. Wentz is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.
Houston Astros @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: September 14, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Joey Wentz Record this season: 5-6 ERA: 5.61
- Home Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Astros: 0-1
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Astros have lost each of their last six Sunday games as favorites.
- The underdogs have won five of the Astros’ last six games at Truist Park.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Sunday games as favorites.
- The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road day games.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Sunday games as favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez Record this season: 12-9 ERA: 3.42
- Road Record: 6-6
- Last 5 against Braves: 1-1
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The road team has won each of the last nine games between the Astros and Braves.
- The Braves have lost eight of their last nine games against AL West opponents.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against the Braves.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Astros have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Astros’ last nine games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last six games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 home appearances against AL opponents.
- Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Austin Riley has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Astros.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with the Astros as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Framber Valdez has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
- Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 15 road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Yainer Diaz has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Astros as favorites against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for steals this season (73).
- The Braves rank T26th in the league for doubles this season (221).
- The Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1397).
- The Astros rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.231).
Braves vs Astros Prediction
The Braves continue to rack up the losses, and Wentz isn’t changing that. Wentz has been passed around the league, and he’s allowed 14 hits and 10 earned runs in his last 6.1 innings. Valdez has been hit hard recently, and his 4.67 ERA and .250 allowed batting average on the road isn’t scaring anybody. Still, the Astros are playing the better ball overall and will likely find a way to win. The Braves look like a team that’s counting down the days until the offseason.