In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 19th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 46-27 this season after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 2-7 and 5-7. In game two, Atlanta cut the deficit to 7-5 in the ninth inning, but fell short in the comeback attempt. The Braves recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Dubon, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Ritchie allowed five hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Carrasco allowed two earned runs in four innings of relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta lost two out of three against the Mets and both games against the White Sox.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.39 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while they have scored 366 runs with a .254 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 20 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 14 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 5-3 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 62.0 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 45-27 this year after they won two out of three against the Guardians by scores of 2-1, 9-4, and 2-4. In game three, Milwaukee led 2-1 in the fourth inning, but they went scoreless over the last five innings for the loss. The Brewers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Pratt, who went 1-2 with one RBI. Drohan allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Anderson picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Phillies, but lost two out of three against the Athletics before that.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.43 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 383 runs with a .254 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 13 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 11 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jacob Misiorowski, who is 8-2 with a 1.34 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP over 87.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won five of their last six games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games at Truist Park.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven road games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have lost each of their last six games against the Brewers following a home loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the last 10 games between the Brewers and Braves at Truist Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Brewers’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Brewers and Braves at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 games as underdogs.
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Brewers.
- Matt Olson ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Brewers as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (131) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.222).
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.423).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (708).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
Braves vs Brewers Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have allowed 7+ runs in four of their last five games. The Braves are 22-13 at home this year, while the Brewers are 20-12 on the road. Milwaukee has won three of their last four games and they have allowed nine total runs in their last four games. The Brewers are starting Misiorowski, who has allowed one total earned run in his last five starts, while Perez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. Take the under here.