In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Cardinals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, July 12th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals have a 50-44 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 26-25 home record and are coming off a 4-1 home win against the Braves. They will face the Dbacks and the Angels next.
The St. Louis Cardinals have a .243 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. St. Louis’s pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Jordan Walker is the team’s best hitter with a .294 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI with 74, adding a team-high 22 home runs.
Dustin May (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he has a 5-6 record, 4.55 ERA and 1.25 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 54-40 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 27-22 away record and are coming off a 1-4 road loss against the Cardinals. They will face the Rangers and the Padres next.
The Atlanta Braves have a .247 batting average this season, .312 OBP and .410 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 58, adding a team-high 25 home runs.
JR Ritchie (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Atlanta Braves, and he has a 1-2 record, 4.60 ERA and 1.47 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends: July 12, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Dustin May Record this season: 5-6 ERA: 4.55
- Home Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Braves: 0-1
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Cardinals have won each of their last six Sunday home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have lost nine of their last 11 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Braves.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight road games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ian Ritchie Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 4.60
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Cardinals: –
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Cardinals have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Braves have won each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four day games at Busch Stadium following a loss.
- The Braves have won the first inning in three of their last four day games.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against the Cardinals.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cardinals’ last 10 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Braves’ last nine games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Braves’ last nine day games against NL Central opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of Dustin May’s last six home appearances as a starter.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Jordan Walker has hit a home run in each of the Cardinals’ last two day games.
- Dustin May has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances.
- JJ Wetherholt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last eight day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jordan Walker ranks 7th in the league in Hits (104) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Cardinals.
- Michael Harris is one of only six players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (709).
- The Cardinals rank 27th in the league for doubles this season (130).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (280).
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (711).
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction
The Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Braves and have won their last three meetings in Saint Louis.
In this Braves vs Cardinals Prediction, the Cardinals are coming as -130 home favorites. I am with the Cardinals in this one, as JR Ritchie has been bad for the Braves with an almost 1.50 WHIP, having given up 14 runs across his last three starts. On the flip side, Dustin May has three shutouts in his last five starts and back-to-back shutouts at home with a 3.94 home ERA. Take the Cardinals to win this one at home.