In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 30th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 49-33 this year after they lost two out of three against the Giants by scores of 3-1, 0-5, and 2-3. In game three, Atlanta allowed the first three runs in the game and fell just short in the ninth inning for the loss. The Braves recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Harris II, who went 0-3 with one RBI. Sale allowed eight hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Fuentes allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Atlanta lost all three against the Padres, but did win two out of three against the Brewers before that.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.41 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while they have scored 390 runs with a .248 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 20 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 14 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 6-4 with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 72.0 innings pitched this year.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 43-38 this season after they lost two out of three against the Marlins by scores of 0-4, 1-5, and 2-1. In game three, St. Louis scored two runs in the second inning, which was enough to barely get the win. The Cardinals recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Torres, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Leahy allowed two hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while O’Brien picked up the save. Prior to that series, St. Louis lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and two out of three against the Royals.
This season, St. Louis has a 4.26 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 362 runs with a .246 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Jordan Walker has led the Cardinals with 18 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Alec Burleson has added 13 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Matthew Liberatore, who is 3-5 with a 5.56 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP over 77.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won nine of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road games.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Cardinals have won each of their last eight Tuesday games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Cardinals’ last seven games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites.
- The Cardinals have won the first inning in four of their last five road games.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Cardinals’ last nine games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight road games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Braves’ last eight night games against NL Central opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Martin Perez has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Martin Perez has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 17 appearances against the Cardinals.
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit a home run in four of his last five Tuesday appearances against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Matt Olson ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Matthew Liberatore has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
- Alec Burleson has hit a home run in four of the Cardinals’ last five games as road underdogs.
- Alec Burleson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last 11 Tuesday games.
- Ivan Herrera ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.397) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (239).
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.41).
- The Cardinals rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (625).
- The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (606).
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction
St. Louis was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Sunday, but they have scored a total of three runs in their last three games. The Cardinals are 20-17 on the road this year, while the Braves are 24-14 at home. Atlanta has lost four of their last five games and they have scored three runs or fewer in four straight. The Braves are starting Perez, who has allowed 3, 1, 1, 3, and 2 earned runs in his last five starts, while Liberatore has allowed 4+ earned runs in three straight. Take the Braves -1.5 here.