In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 3rd at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 27-31 this year after they lost two out of three against the Red Sox by scores of 1-5, 5-0, and 1-3. In their game three loss, Atlanta cut the deficit to 3-1 in the bottom of the first inning, but didn’t score over the final eight innings for the loss. The Braves recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Ozuna, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Atlanta started Elder, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while De Los Santos, Bummer, and Iglesias combined for 3.2 scoreless innings.
Prior to that series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Padres. Atlanta has lost eight of their last eleven games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 236 runs with a .246 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 12 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 10 home runs and 33 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, who is 0-3 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 14.0 innings pitched this year.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 28-31 this season after they lost two out of three against Washington by scores of 7-9, 7-11, and 3-1. In their game three win, Arizona scored three runs in the first inning and they were able to get the win, despite not scoring in the final seven innings. The Diamondbacks recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Suarez, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Arizona started Burnes, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 4.2 innings, while Mena picked up the win and Martinez got the save.
Prior to that series, the Diamondbacks lost two out of three against the Pirates and got swept by the Cardinals. Arizona has lost nine of their last eleven games and they are currently fourth in the NL West standings. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.81 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 296 runs with a .254 batting average and a .331 on base percentage this year. Eugenio Suarez has led Arizona with 16 home runs and 44 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added 16 home runs and 35 RBIs this season. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Zac Gallen, who is 3-7 with a 5.54 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 66.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Braves will beat the Diamondbacks
- The Braves have won nine of their last 10 home games following a home loss.
- The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight games following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a home win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight Tuesday games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents.
Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Braves
- The underdogs have won four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Braves at Truist Park.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Braves’ last seven home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Diamondbacks’ last six night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six night games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Matt Olson has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Spencer Strider has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Braves’ last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last six home games against the Diamondbacks.
- Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL West opponents.
- Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 appearances against NL West opponents.
- Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL West opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Gabriel Moreno has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Zac Gallen has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Eugenio Suarez has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances.
- Zac Gallen has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs.
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction
Both of these teams come into this series struggling in recent games, but Atlanta will have the home field advantage. The Braves are 17-11 at home this year, while the Diamondbacks are 13-14 on the road. Arizona’s pitching staff has been awful over the last few weeks and they are starting Gallen, who has allowed four earned runs or more in four straight outings. Atlanta is going with Strider, who has only pitched in three games, but looked better against the Phillies last time out. I think we are going to see plenty of offense in this game, as Gallen continues to struggle, so I like the over here.