The Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves meet Wednesday in MLB playoff action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs. Dodgers Pick.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers look to reach their third straight NLCS. The Dodgers have won 5 straight road games. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .218 in these playoffs, with a .275 OBP and a .436 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 2.33 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 4 hits and 2 RBI, while Kyle Tucker and Mookie Betts have combined for 7 hits and 2 RBI.
Tyler Glasnow gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 5-2 with a 3.53 ERA and 98 strikeouts this season. Glasnow is 2-1 with a 2.48 ERA and 46 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves. Glasnow is 2-6 with a 4.43 ERA and 86 strikeouts in his postseason career.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves need a win to force a game 5 on Friday. The Braves have split their first 4 home playoff games. The Atlanta Braves are batting .196 in these playoffs and have a .305 OBP and a .339 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.17 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. Michael Harris II leads the Atlanta Braves with 9 hits and 4 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Mauricio Dubon have combined for 10 hits and 6 RBI.
Tyler Mahle gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 7-10 with a 3.99 ERA and 137 strikeouts this season. Mahle is 3-3 with a 3.15 ERA and 33 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Mahle is 0-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his postseason career.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last four games as home underdogs following a loss.
- The Dodgers have lost four of their last five playoff games as favorites against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night playoff games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have lost the first inning in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against NL West opponents.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won each of their last six night playoff games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have lost five of their last six night playoff games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night playoff games.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Dodgers’ last 10 games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the last four games between the Dodgers and Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Dodgers’ last nine games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of Tyler Mahle’s last six appearances as a starter against the Dodgers.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Tyler Mahle has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight Wednesday appearances.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last seven games as home underdogs.
- Tyler Mahle has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Rowdy Tellez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances after playing the previous day.
- Matt Olson ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (41) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four playoff games.
- Tyler Glasnow has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road playoff appearances after playing the previous day.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (13).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.309).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.218).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1159).
Braves vs Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers are going to be favored because they’re the Dodgers, but I’m not sold on Glasnow. He hasn’t pitched a lot this season and allowed 17 hits and 13 runs in his last 22.1 innings. Glasnow also has a history of coming off small in the postseason. Mahle has just one postseason appearance for his career, but he was great through 7 innings against the Phillies. In his last 31 innings overall, Mahle has allowed 25 hits and 8 earned runs. In 75.2 innings at home this season, Mahle has a 2.74 ERA and a .215 allowed batting average.
The Braves are also due for an offensive breakthrough after quiet bats up to this point. We’re getting plus money. I’ll side with the Braves in a bounce-back spot.