The Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves meet Wednesday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Dodgers Pick.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 80-52 on the year and play the Tigers and Cardinals next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .258 on the season, with a .335 OBP and a .426 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 145 hits and 61 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 269 hits and 160 RBI.
Roki Sasaki gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 5-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. This will be Sasaki’s second career game against the Atlanta Braves.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 77-55 on the year and play the Rockies and Giants next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .247 on the season and have a .311 OBP and a .411 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Michael Harris II leads the Atlanta Braves with 141 hits and 72 RBI, while Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies have combined for 262 hits and 144 RBI.
AJ Smith-Shawver gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 0-0 with a 6.23 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Smith-Shawver’s first career game against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs.
- The Dodgers have lost six of their last 10 games as road favorites against NL opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have won the first inning in each of their last three games as home underdogs.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won eight of their last nine night games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have lost five of their last six games against the Dodgers following a home win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against NL West opponents following a home win.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against the Braves following a loss.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last six games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Dodgers’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of AJ Smith-Shawver’s last eight appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Roki Sasaki’s last five road appearances as a starter.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Drake Baldwin has hit at least one home run in two of the Braves’ last three games as home underdogs.
- AJ Smith-Shawver has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last nine games.
- Matt Olson ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (36) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Max Muncy has hit a home run in two of the Dodgers’ last three games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Roki Sasaki has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances.
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.545) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (382).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.217).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (936).
Braves vs Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers are going to be favored because they’re the Dodgers, and you can argue Sasaki is the more trustworthy arm over Smith-Shawver, who has just 8.2 innings under his belt and has yet to prove he can be a consistent arm overall. I get it. However, the Braves are too good of a team to turn down in the underdog role, especially at home where they’re 20 games above a .500 record. It’s just that simple. Throw the pitching matchup out the window. I’m not turning down the more favorable price with the Braves at home. Give me the plus money with the Braves.