In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Guardians Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 15th at the Progressive Field in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians have a 63-57 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL Central. The Guardians have a 31-28 home record and are 57-60 in over/under. They are coming off a 9-4 home victory over the Marlins, and are 7-2 in their last 9 games. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games and are playing the Diamondbacks and the Rangers next.
The Guardians have a .229 batting average this season, .301 OBP and .378 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 132 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .298 batting average. He also leads the team both in RBI, with 64, and in home runs with 25.
Joey Cantillo (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 3-2 record, 4.11 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 53-68 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL East. The Braves have a 23-38 road record and 54-58 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-3 road victory over the Mets, and are 5-1 in their last 6 games. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games and are playing the White Sox and the Mets next.
The Braves have a .242 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Braves with 121 hits, and he is also the team’s best hitter with a .262 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 71, while Marcell Ozuna leads the team in home runs with 20.
Hurston Waldrep (R) will take the mound for the Braves, and he has a 2-0 record, 1.54 ERA and 0.86 WHIP.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last seven games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Guardians have won seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road night games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won four of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Guardians have lost each of their last five games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Braves have won the first inning in four of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the last four games between the Braves and Guardians have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last seven games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Braves’ last 11 road games against American League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for hits this season (901).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.229).
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (438).
- The Braves rank T26th in the league for doubles this season (179).
Braves vs Guardians Prediction
The Braves are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Guardians, and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Cleveland. Under is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Braves vs Guardians Prediction, the Guardians are coming as -125 home favorites. Both teams have been in excellent form lately, and the Guardians have climbed up on the second place of the AL Central. I wont rush to the window to back any of those pitchers, but Cantillo has been weaker at home for the Guardians, with a 5.26 ERA, while Waldrep has looked sharp in his two starts this season. On the flip side, the Guardians have a better bullpen and the Braves are weaker against lefties, so eventually I will side with the home team to get the job done in this one.