In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 13th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 10-6 this year after they won two out of three against the Guardians by scores of 11-5, 0-6, and 13-1. In their game three win, Atlanta scored the first nine runs in the game and they cruised to the easy win. The Braves recorded 19 hits in the game and they were led by Dubon, Farmer, Smith, and Riley, who all had two RBIs. Sale allowed eight hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Dodd picked up the save. Prior to that series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Angels and split four games with the Diamondbacks.
This season, Atlanta has a 2.41 ERA with a 1.01 WHIP and a .196 opponent batting average, while they have scored 90 runs with a .274 batting average and a .341 on base percentage. Drake Baldwin has led the Braves with five home runs and 17 RBIs, while Matt Olson has added four home runs and 11 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Grant Holmes, who is 1-1 with a 2.55 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 17.2 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 8-8 this season after they lost all three games against the Tigers by scores of 0-2, 1-6, and 2-8. In game three, Miami allowed the first seven runs in the game and never had a chance in the lopsided loss. The Marlins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Lopez, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Alcantara allowed 10 hits and seven earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Phillips closed out the last two innings. Prior to that series, Miami split four games with the Reds and lost two out of three against the Yankees.
This season, Miami has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .209 opponent batting average, while they have scored 70 runs with a .249 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with three home runs and 13 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added two home runs and 12 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 1-1 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 16.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Marlins have lost 25 of their last 26 Monday road games.
- The Braves have won seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last five games.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 Monday games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in six of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Marlins following a home win.
- The Marlins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Braves’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games at Truist Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Braves’ last seven night games against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 night games.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in eight of his last 30 appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
- Esteury Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.41).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.196).
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (7).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.209).
Braves vs Marlins Prediction
Miami comes into this matchup after getting dominated by the Tigers over the weekend, as they were outscored 16-3 in three games. The Marlins are 1-5 on the road this year, while the Braves are 6-3 at home. Atlanta has won four of their last five games and they have scored 7+ runs in all four of those wins. The Braves are starting Holmes, who has allowed two earned runs and six hits over his last 12.2 innings, while Perez has allowed six earned runs and eight hits over his last 9.0 innings. Miami has struggled on the road and I don’t trust Perez, so take the Braves to win here.