In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 15th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 11-7 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 4-10 and 6-5. In game two, Atlanta trailed 4-0 in the second inning and 5-3 in the eighth, but they scored three runs in the bottom of the eighth for the win. The Braves recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Smith, who went 3-4 with four RBIs. Lopez allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Suarez got the win and Iglesias picked up the save. Prior to this series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Angels.
This season, Atlanta has a 2.93 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and a .214 opponent batting average, while they have scored 100 runs with a .274 batting average and a .342 on base percentage. Drake Baldwin has led the Braves with five home runs and 18 RBIs, while Matt Olson has added four home runs and 12 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 1-1 with a 1.02 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 17.2 innings pitched this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 9-9 this year after they lost game two in this series by a score of 6-5 on Tuesday. Miami scored four runs in the first two innings, but they only scored one more run over the last seven innings and their bullpen fell apart for the loss. The Marlins recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Marsee, who went 2-3 with one RBI and one walk. Meyer allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Fairbanks allowed three earned runs and was charged with the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Miami lost all three against the Tigers and split four games with the Reds.
This season, Miami has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .216 opponent batting average, while they have scored 85 runs with a .260 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with three home runs and 16 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added two home runs and 12 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Chris Paddack, who is 0-2 with a 6.14 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The home team has won six of the Marlins’ last seven games.
- The Marlins have lost 16 of their last 20 games at Truist Park against teams that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a home win.
- The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last nine home games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Braves’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Marlins’ last nine road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Marlins’ last six games at Truist Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last nine night games against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 13 night games.
- Drake Baldwin ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (23) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Chris Paddack has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in eight of his last 30 appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
- Jakob Marsee ranks T1st in the league in Steals (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank T1st in the league for hits this season (169).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (97).
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (7).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (25).
Braves vs Marlins Prediction
Miami comes into this matchup after losing four of their last five games and they have allowed 6+ runs in three of their last four. The Marlins are 2-6 on the road this year, while the Braves are 7-4 at home. Atlanta has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have scored 6+ in those three wins. The Braves are starting Elder, who is off to a great start, while Paddack has looked better in his last two outings. The Marlins struggle on the road and I don’t really trust Paddack to continue this form, so I will take the Braves -1.5 here.