Braves vs Marlins Prediction 4/6/25 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 5-4 on the year and play the Mets, Nationals, and Diamondbacks next. The Miami Marlins are batting .238 on the season, have a .308 OBP, and a .362 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 10 hits and 7 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Griffin Conine have combined for 16 hits and 4 RBI.

Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 1-0 with a 3.72 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 4-4 with a 2.94 ERA and 75 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 1-8 on the year and play the Phillies, Rays, and Blue Jays next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .193 on the season, have a .280 OBP, and a .297 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Michael Harris II leads the Atlanta Braves with 8 hits and 1 RBI while Ozzie Albies and Matt Olson have combined for 14 hits and 10 RBI.

Grant Holmes gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 0-0 with a 5.19 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The home team has won 11 of the Braves’ last 12 games.
• The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine road games against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against the Braves following a win.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Braves have lost each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have won each of their last five games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 day games against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Marlins have won the first inning in six of their last seven road games.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine road games.

Braves vs Marlins Prediction

The Braves are the better team on paper, but there’s no way you can back them in the favorite role with the way they’re playing right now. The Braves can’t hit the baseball and have been held to one or fewer runs in five of their last seven games. Also, in what world are we going to turn down plus money with Alcantara on the mound? A CY Young winner, Alcantara is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and he’s looked sharp out of the gate. The Marlins are playing better baseball overall as well. I’ll gladly take the Marlins and the more favorable price.