In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 4th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 67-45 this year after they swept the Nationals in four games by scores of 5-4, 6-2, 8-3, and 4-2. In game four, Atlanta trailed 2-1 in the fourth inning, but they scored the last three runs for the win. The Braves recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Yastrzemski, who went 1-2 with one home run and two RBIs. Ritchie allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Dodd picked up the win and Iglesias got the save. Prior to that series, Atlanta lost two out of three against the Mets, but did win two out of three against the Orioles before that.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.67 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 549 runs with a .249 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 31 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 20 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Grant Holmes, who is 6-4 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 102.0 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 58-55 this season after they won three out of four against the Mets by scores of 2-4, 5-2, 6-2, and 2-0. In game four, Miami scored one run in the fifth inning and one in the ninth in the shutout win. The Marlins recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Mack, who went 2-3 with one home run and one RBI. Alcantara allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Fairbanks picked up the save. Prior to that series, Miami swept the Phillies in three games, but lost all three against the Padres before that.
This season, Miami has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 496 runs with a .250 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 51 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 12 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Ryan Gusto, who is 0-2 with a 5.31 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 39.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last eight night games at Truist Park following a win.
- The Braves have won each of their last 22 Tuesday night home games against NL East opponents.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last five games between the Marlins and Braves.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games at Truist Park following a win.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 14 games as home favorites.
- The Braves have won the first inning in three of their last four night games at Truist Park.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday night games as favorites.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have lost five of their last seven games as favorites against the Marlins following a home win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs following a win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the last nine games between the Marlins and Braves have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Marlins’ last seven games at Truist Park.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Braves’ last 11 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in four of the Braves’ last five home games against NL East opponents.
- Grant Holmes has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 18 home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Matt Olson ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last three night games.
- Liam Hicks has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (140) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (8).
- The Braves rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (150).
- The Marlins rank T1st in the league for triples this season (25).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (124).
Braves vs Marlins Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup on a five game winning streak and they have allowed three runs or fewer in four of those five games. The Braves are 36-20 at home this year, while the Marlins are 24-32 on the road. Miami has won three in a row and they have allowed two runs or fewer in all three. The Marlins are starting Gusto, who allowed six earned runs in his last outing, while Holmes has allowed three earned runs in three straight. Take the over here.