In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 6th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 69-45 this year after they won the first two games by scores of 4-2 and 4-1. In game two, Atlanta scored four runs in the first three innings, which was enough for the win, but failed to score in the last five innings. The Braves recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Baldwin, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Elder allowed one hit and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Fuentes picked up the save. Prior to this series, Atlanta swept the Nationals in four games, but lost two out of three against the Mets before that.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.63 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they have scored 557 runs with a .249 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 31 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 20 home runs and 59 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 7-6 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 97.1 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 58-57 this season after they lost game two by a score of 1-4 last night. Miami cut the deficit to 4-1 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Marlins recorded three hits and they were led by Mack, who went 0-2 with one RBI in the game. Perez allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Gibson threw an inning in relief. Prior to this series, Miami won three out of four against the Mets and all three against the Phillies.
This season, Miami has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 499 runs with a .249 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 51 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 12 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 5-6 with a 4.58 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 78.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last eight home games.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Marlins and Braves.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a road loss.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in 14 of their last 16 games as home favorites.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight Thursday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Thursday games as home favorites.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in three of their last four games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Braves’ last nine games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games at Truist Park.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Martin Perez’s last four appearances as a starter.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in 35 of his last 37 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Lane Thomas has hit a home run in six of his last seven home appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
- Matt Olson ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last five night games.
- Janson Junk has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Esteury Ruiz has recorded two or more hits in each of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Janson Junk has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (142) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (8).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (339).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (25).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (124).
Braves vs Marlins Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup on a nice winning streak and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Braves are 38-20 at home this year, while the Marlins are 24-34 on the road. Miami has dropped two in a row, but they have played better in recent series. The Marlins are starting Junk, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Perez has allowed three earned runs in his last 16.0 innings of work. Take the Braves to stay hot with another win here.