In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 8th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 48-66 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 8-6 on Thursday night. Atlanta trailed 6-2 in the fourth inning, but they scored the last six runs to escape with the victory. The Braves recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Baldwin, who went 3-5 with two home runs and five RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Carrasco, who allowed nine hits and six earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Johnson got the win and Iglesias picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Braves lost all three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the Reds before that. Atlanta has lost three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 476 runs with a .242 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 18 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Sean Murphy has added 16 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 4-8 with a 6.03 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP over 94.0 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 56-58 this season after they lost game one in this series on Thursday night. Miami jumped out to a 6-2 lead in the fourth, but they failed to score over the last five innings for the bad loss. The Marlins recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Pauley and Wagaman, who both had two RBIs in the loss. Miami started Perez, who allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Simpson picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Astros, but did sweep the Yankees in three games before that. Miami has lost three of their last four games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 492 runs with a .253 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 25 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 17 home runs and 52 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Edward Cabrera, who is 5-5 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 100.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Marlins will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost each of their last seven night games following a win.
- The Marlins have won five of their last six games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Braves’ last nine night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 14 of the Braves’ last 15 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Harris has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against the Marlins.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Edward Cabrera has recorded six strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
- Otto Lopez has recorded a Double in three of the Marlins’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Stowers ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.559) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for steals this season (54).
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (409).
- The Marlins rank T6th in the league for triples this season (20).
- The Marlins are one of only six teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
Braves vs Marlins Prediction
Atlanta has really struggled over the last few weeks and they faced a sizable deficit on Thursday in game one, but they rallied and picked up a badly needed win. The Braves are 27-29 at home this year, while the Marlins are 28-27 on the road. Miami has lost three of their last four games and they are starting Cabrera, who has allowed one earned run in each of his last three outings. Atlanta is going with Elder, who has allowed 2, 8, and 3 earned runs in his last three starts. I am hesitant to do it, but Cabrera has been on fire recently. Take the Marlins here.