In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 12th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 72-48 this year after they split the first two games by scores of 5-8 and 4-0. In game two, Atlanta scored once in the fifth inning, once in the seventh, and twice in the eighth in the win. The Braves recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Olson, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Perez allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Lee picked up a hold. Prior to this series, Atlanta lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did sweep the Marlins in three games before that.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.61 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 585 runs with a .248 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 35 home runs and 74 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 20 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Tyler Mahle, who is 3-9 with a 4.83 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 100.2 innings pitched this year.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 53-68 this season after they lost game two by a score of 0-4 on Tuesday night. New York got a great start from McLean, but couldn’t find any offense in the loss. The Mets recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Lindor, who went 1-3 with one walk. McLean allowed one hit and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while McDermott allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Pirates and all three against the Guardians.
This season, New York has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 507 runs with a .235 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 11 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Zac Thornton, who is 3-2 with a 2.52 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 39.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Braves have won each of their last seven home games following a home win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight games following a home win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in 14 of their last 18 home night games.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last four games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Braves have lost five of their last six games against the Mets following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five road games following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last five Wednesday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mets’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Mets and Braves at Truist Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Braves’ last nine games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight night games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in four of the Braves’ last five home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Tyler Mahle has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in 25 of his last 26 home appearances against the Mets.
- Matt Olson ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Zach Thornton has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games.
- Brett Baty has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Mets as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Brett Baty has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (358).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (151).
- The Mets rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.307).
Braves vs Mets Prediction
Atlanta got back on track with a win on Tuesday in game two and they have an 8.5 game lead in the NL East. The Braves are 40-21 at home this year, while the Mets are 28-34 on the road. New York has won three of their last five games and they have scored 6+ runs in all three of those wins. The Mets are starting Thornton, who has allowed six earned runs in his last 29.0 innings, while Mahle has allowed 0, 5, 0, and 3 earned runs in his last four outings. Take the Mets on the road here.