In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Padres Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, June 24th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
San Diego Padres Preview
The San Diego Padres have a 41-37 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL West. They have a 21-19 home record and are coming off a 7-6 home win against the Braves. They will face the Dodgers and the Cubs next.
The Padres have a .220 batting average this season, .293 OBP and .364 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average. Manny Machado leads the team in RBI with 43, adding a team-high 14 home runs.
JP Sears (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres, and last season he had a 9-11 record, 5.04 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 48-30 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 24-16 road record and are coming off a 6-7 road defeat against the Padres. They will face the Giants and the Cardinals next.
The Braves have a .252 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .418 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.40 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .310 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 52, adding a team-high 20 home runs.
Martin Perez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 6-3 record, 2.78 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: June 24, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: JP Sears Record this season: – ERA: –
- Home Record: –
- Last 5 against Braves: 0-1
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last eight home games against the Braves.
- The Braves have lost each of their last seven games at Petco Park against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last seven games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Martin Perez Record this season: 6-2 ERA: 2.68
- Road Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Padres: 0-1
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The favorites have won each of the Padres’ last six games at Petco Park.
- The Padres have lost each of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following an extra innings loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Braves’ last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Padres’ last six home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last 10 night games against National League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 16 of the Braves’ last 17 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games against the Braves.
- JP Sears has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 14 home games against NL East opponents.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T6th in the league in Steals (14) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Martin Perez has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents.
- Jorge Mateo has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Matt Olson ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (16) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (230).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (440).
- The Braves rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (4.27).
- The Braves rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.232).
Braves vs Padres Prediction
The Padres are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against the Braves, having won their last seven meetings in San Diego.
In this Braves vs Padres Prediction, the Braves are coming as -140 road favorites. I don’t trust Sears in this matchup, as he will make his season debut and he had been bad last season, while Perez has been in excellent form for the Braves, with back-to-back games with just one earned run. The Braves have the 6th-best offense in baseball to offer him run support, while the Padres are terrible against lefties. Take the Braves to win.