In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 20th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 57-41 this season after they won two out of three against the Rangers by scores of 15-1, 6-7, and 8-5. In game three, Atlanta had their lead cut to 4-3 in the fifth inning, but they scored the next three runs to pull away with the win. The Braves recorded 14 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Riley, who went 3-4 with two home runs and four RBIs. Holmes allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Lee allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Atlanta lost two out of three against the Cardinals, but did win two out of three against the Pirates before that.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.62 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they have scored 489 runs with a .250 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 26 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 18 home runs and 54 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 5-6 with a 4.12 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 102.2 innings pitched this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 49-50 this year after they lost two out of three against the Royals by scores of 6-7, 1-6, and 19-2. In game three, San Diego had their lead cut to 6-2 in the third inning, but they scored the last 13 runs in the blowout win. The Padres recorded 19 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by France, who went 2-6 with two home runs and five RBIs. Marquez allowed five hits and two earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Matsui got the win in relief. Prior to that series, San Diego won two out of three against the Blue Jays and split four games with the Diamondbacks.
This season, San Diego has a 4.24 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while they have scored 405 runs with a .228 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 19 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 14 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is JP Sears, who is 2-2 with a 5.03 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 19.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The home team has won 10 of the last 12 games between the Padres and Braves.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games as home favorites.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games as favorites.
- The Padres have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last six games as favorites against the Padres following a home win.
- The underdogs have won each of the Padres’ last four games.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Padres’ last seven games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against the Padres following a win.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last six home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Padres’ last seven games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last seven night games against NL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Braves’ last four night games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Eli White has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Braves as favorites.
- Bryce Elder has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents.
- Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 games against NL West opponents.
- Bryce Elder has recorded a win in each of his last six Monday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Michael Harris is one of only five players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two games.
- JP Sears has recorded four or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.
- JP Sears has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T4th in the league in Steals (25) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (295).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (295).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (742).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (742).
Braves vs Padres Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have scored 29 runs in their last three games. The Braves are 29-19 at home this year, while the Padres are 22-26 on the road. San Diego has won three of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five. The Padres are starting Sears, who has allowed 3, 0, and 6 earned runs in his last three starts, while Elder has allowed 3+ earned runs in four straight outings. Take the over here.