The San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves meet Thursday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Padres Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Padres Pick.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 50-52 on the year and play the Marlins and Rockies next. The San Diego Padres are batting .230 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and have a .383 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 113 hits and 46 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 162 hits and 82 RBI.
Griffin Canning gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 1-8 with a 6.67 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. Canning is 0-1 with a 12.91 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 59-42 on the year and play the Orioles and Mets next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .250 on the season and have a .317 OBP and a .417 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Michael Harris II leads the Atlanta Braves with 107 hits and 60 RBI, while Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies have combined for 209 hits and 115 RBI.
Chris Sale gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 10-6 with a 2.06 ERA and 123 strikeouts this season. Sale is 4-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 43 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last seven day games against NL East opponents.
- The home team has won five of the last six games between the Padres and Braves.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last three day games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Thursday day road games.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last nine games as underdogs against the Braves following a road loss.
- The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Padres following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Padres’ last 10 games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against the Padres following a win.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games at Truist Park against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Braves’ last nine home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Padres’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Chris Sale’s last eight appearances as a starter.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Padres’ last 10 games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Drake Baldwin has hit a home run in two of the Braves’ last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Chris Sale has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 Thursday appearances.
- Chris Sale has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Chris Sale ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.06) this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Merrill has hit at least one home run in three of the Padres’ last four games.
- Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
- Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL opponents.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T5th in the league in Steals (25) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank T27th in the league for triples this season (8).
- The Braves rank T27th in the league for triples this season (8).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (770).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (770).
Braves vs Padres Prediction
It’s strange to see the struggling Braves priced like this, but it has everything to do with the pitching matchup. Channing has been a mess with a 6.67 ERA and 1.62 WHIP through 59.1 innings. It’s even worse on the road, where he has a 7.71 ERA and .300 WHIP through 28 innings. Sale is still dealing at 37 years old with a 2.06 ERA and 1.06 WHIP, making him one of the best pitchers in baseball this season. At home through 53.1 innings, Sale has a 1.35 ERA and .214 batting average allowed. There’s a grand canyon gap between the arms. Give me the Braves and the RL for max betting value.