In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Phillies Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 30th at the Citizens Bank Park in the third game of this series, with the Phillies having the 2-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 78-57 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL East. They have a 44-22 home record, and are 58-69 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-1 home victory over the Braves, and have back-to-back wins. Over is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games and are playing the Brewers and the Marlins next.
The Phillies have a .258 batting average this season, .328 OBP and .424 Slugging percentage. Philly’s pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 165 hits and he is the team’s best hitter, with a .2979 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 119 RBI and a team-high 49 home runs.
Cristopher Sanchez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 11-5 record, 2.66 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 61-74 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL East. The Braves have a 28-41 road record and 62-63 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-2 road defeat by the Phillies, and have back-to-back losses. Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games and are playing the Cubs and the Mariners next.
The Braves have a .244 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 4.43 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Braves with 140 hits, and he is also the team’s best hitter with a .269 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 75, while Marcell Ozuna leads the team in home runs with 21.
Chris Sale (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 5-4 record, 2.52 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have lost each of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 Saturday night games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 14 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Phillies have lost six of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Braves have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park following a road loss.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Phillies.
Total Runs Facts
- Three of the Braves’ last four road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Three of the Phillies’ last four home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Braves’ last 10 night games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1236).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (364).
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (488).
- The Braves rank 24th in the league for steals this season (68).
Braves vs Phillies Prediction
The Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 head-to-head meetings against the Braves, and are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Philadelphia. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.
In this Braves vs Phillies Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -150 home favorites. Sale takes the mound for the Braves, and while he hasn’t played since June 18th, he was elite before his injury. Sanchez has also been excellent for the Phillies and both teams are weaker against left-handed pitching. Yesterday’s game had just 3 total runs, and I expect both pitchers to suppress the opposing offenses today. Take the under 7.5 runs.