In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 10th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 2-9 this year after they lost game two in this series by a score of 4-3 on Wednesday. Atlanta led 2-1 in the sixth, but they needed a home run to tie the game in the seventh before losing in the top of the ninth. The Braves recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Harris, Riley, and Arcia, who all had one RBI in the loss. Atlanta started Holmes, who allowed three hits over 4.0 innings, while Bummer, Lee, and Iglesias allowed the four runs in the loss. The Braves did win game one in this series by a score of 7-5.
Prior to this series, the Braves split two games with the Marlins and were swept by the Dodgers in three games. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 34 runs with a .215 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage this season. Ozzie Albies, Matt Olson, and Marcell Ozuna have led Atlanta with one home run and five RBIs each this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.29 WHIP over 14.0 innings pitched this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 8-3 this season after they won game two by a score of 4-3 on Wednesday. Philadelphia trailed 2-1 in the sixth, but they scored three runs in the final three innings for the win. The Phillies recorded nine hits in the game, and they were led by Harper, who went 1-3 with one home run, two RBIs, and two walks. Philadelphia started Walker, who allowed five hits over 4.2 innings, while Ruiz and Ross allowed three earned runs out of the bullpen.
Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Dodgers and swept the Rockies in three games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 54 runs with a .265 batting average and a .358 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with five home runs and 11 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added two home runs and seven RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 12.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Phillies will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost each of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have won four of the Phillies’ last five games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the last seven games between the Phillies and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Phillies and Braves.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Braves’ last nine games against NL East opponents.
- Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Alex Verdugo has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances at Truist Park.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last five games against NL East opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Phillies’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Thursday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded a Single in each of the Phillies’ last eight night games.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Braves.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 13 night games.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Braves vs Phillies Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup with just two wins on the season, but they have split their last four games and will be looking for their first series win of the year here. The Braves have really struggled offensively to start the season, and they will be facing Jesus Luzardo, who has allowed just two earned runs over 12.0 innings of work this year. Philadelphia has also split their last four games, but they are 8-3 in the season and leading the division. The Phillies are going up against Spencer Schwellenbach, who has allowed zero earned runs and just three hits over 14 innings this year. I know Schwellenbach has been elite in his first two starts, but I don’t trust the Atlanta bats at all and will take the Phillies with the small plus money.