The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs. Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs. Phillies Pick.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 8-17 on the year and play the Marlins and Giants next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .219 on the season and have a .296 OBP, and a .363 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 5.12 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 24 hits and 14 RBI, while Trea Turner and Bryce Harper have combined for 47 hits and 20 RBI.
Andrew Painter gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 1-1 with a 4.42 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. This will be Painter’s second career game against the Atlanta Braves.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 18-8 on the year and play the Rockies and Tigers next. The Atlanta Braves are batting. 274 on the season and have a .340 OBP, and a .455 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 3.12 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Drake Baldwin leads the Atlanta Braves with 34 hits and 23 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Matt Olson have combined for 59 hits and 37 RBI.
Grant Holmes gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 1-1 with a 3.42 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 1-1 with a 2.19 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last 10 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have won 10 of their last 11 night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last 13 games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in 17 of their last 18 games following a road win.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight games.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last nine night games against the Braves following a road loss.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against the Phillies following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Phillies and Braves.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in each of their last five games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Phillies and Braves has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last four games as underdogs against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last seven Friday games.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Dominic Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against NL East opponents.
- Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two home games against the Phillies.
- Drake Baldwin ranks 1st in the league in Hits (34) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in four of his last five Friday appearances at Truist Park.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 Friday games.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (150).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (248).
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.287).
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (257).
Braves vs Phillies Prediction
The Phillies just can’t get out of their own way and while the talent is there, this is a rough week and it’s hard to back them with confidence. Painter is also an inexperienced pitcher who will make just his fourth career start. The Braves are rolling and looking more and more like a legit contender in the NL. On paper this should be a good series and the Phillies are due for a bounce-back performance. Still, I’m riding the hot hand. Give me the Braves.