The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Braves vs Phillies Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Ranger Suarez for the start here and Suarez is 6-2 with a 2.08 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Braves, Suarez is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 35 strikeouts. The Atlanta Braves will send out Spencer Strider for the start here and Strider is 3-5 with a 4.07 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Phillies, Strider is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA and 44 strikeouts.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to bounce back from a 6-1 loss at the hands of the Braves on Saturday to sit at 48-35 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head home for a set against the San Diego Padres.
Phillies Lose 4 Of Last 5
Nick Castellanos has 87 hits with 21 doubles including 9 home runs and 44 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 75 hits with a team-high 25 home runs and 57 RBIs but also has a team-high 95 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 34 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 100 hits with a team-high 20 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles and Bryson Stott has 8 doubles, 2 triples, 5 homers and 34 RBIs while Stott also has 12 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Braves following a road loss.
- The Braves have lost each of their last six Sunday games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 Sunday games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Braves following a road loss.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three road games against the Braves.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
- Bryce Harper has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in eight of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Trea Turner ranks 4th in the league in Hits (100) this season.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to add on to their win over Philadelphia from Saturday’s matchup to improve to 38-44 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head home for a set against the Angels.
Braves Snap Three-Game Win Streak
Austin Riley leads the Braves with 90 hits including 12 home runs, 42 RBIs and 14 doubles but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 102 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 70 hits with 6 home runs and 28 RBIs in addition to 7 stolen bases and Matt Olson has 79 hits with 21 doubles, 15 home runs and 52 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 71 hits with 11 home runs and 40 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 65 hits with 11 doubles, 2 triples, 6 home runs and 43 RBIs and 11 stolen bases as well and Nick Allen has 6 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The home team has won five of the Phillies’ last six games.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Phillies.
- Spencer Strider has recorded eight or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 14 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 16 day games.
- Spencer Strider has recorded a win in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Matt Olson has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the last 10 games between the Phillies and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Braves vs Phillies Prediction
I’m on the Braves here. I just think this game boils down to which bullpen I trust more in this game, and without fail, that’s Atlanta’s. Sure, you have two starters in Strider and Suarez that could pitch deep enough that they don’t have to hand the ball over to the pen too early. But I think that the Braves get the late hits to get the win here. Give me the Braves.