In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 8th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 85-59 this year after they split four games with the Phillies by scores of 5-2, 2-4, 5-4, and 0-1. In game four, Atlanta pitched a great game, but couldn’t find any offense in the shutout loss. The Braves recorded two hits and they were led by Olson, who went 1-3 in the game. Holmes allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Fuentes picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, Atlanta split two games with the Nationals and lost a makeup game with the Giants.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.55 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 665 runs with a .247 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 37 home runs and 80 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 22 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is AJ Smith-Shawver, who is 0-1 with a 7.13 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP over 17.2 innings pitched this year.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 85-58 this season after they split four games with the Rangers by scores of 0-6, 7-6, 6-3, and 6-8. In game four, Tampa Bay led 5-1 in the fourth inning, but only scored one more run in the loss. The Rays recorded 10 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Aranda, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Seymour allowed three earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Matz allowed two earned runs and picked up the loss. Prior to that series, Tampa Bay lost two out of three against the Mets, but did sweep the Padres in three games before that.
This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 647 runs with a .260 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 19 home runs and 86 RBIs, while Junior Caminero has added 38 home runs and 92 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Freddy Peralta, who is 7-11 with a 4.96 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 147.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last eight home games against AL opponents following a loss.
- The Rays have lost each of their last eight Tuesday games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against AL opponents following a road loss.
- The Braves have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL opponents.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against AL opponents.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games against NL East opponents.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Rays and Braves at Truist Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Rays’ last eight games as underdogs against the Braves have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last seven games between the Rays and Braves.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rays’ last four games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Austin Riley has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
- Drake Baldwin has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 14 night games.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Junior Caminero has hit a home run in four of the Rays’ last five games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
- Liam Hicks has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Braves.
Braves vs Rays Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup after winning three of their last five games and they have scored at least five runs in all three of those wins. The Braves are 48-24 at home this year, while the Rays are 38-33 on the road. Tampa Bay has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed 6+ runs in four of those five. The Rays are starting Peralta, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Smith-Shawver has allowed 5, 3, and 4 earned run in his last three outings. Take the over here.