In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 15th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 30-14 this season after they won two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 5-2, 4-1, and 0-2. In game three, Atlanta allowed one run in the sixth inning and one in the eighth for the shutout loss. The Braves recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Baldwin, who went 1-4. Sale allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Lopez allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Dodgers, but lost two out of three against the Mariners before that.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.02 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .205 opponent batting average, while they have scored 237 runs with a .270 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 14 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 11 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, who is 1-0 with a 2.89 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 9.1 innings pitched this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 18-25 this year after they lost two out of three against the Phillies by scores of 1-2, 3-1, and 1-3. In game three, Boston allowed three runs in the eighth inning for the low scoring loss. The Red Sox recorded seven hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Abreu, who went 2-4 with one RBI in the game. Suarez allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Samaniego allowed two earned runs for the loss. Prior to that series, Boston lost two out of three against the Rays, but did win all three against the Tigers before that.
This season, Boston has a 3.83 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 161 runs with a .235 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with eight home runs and 23 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added four home runs and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Connelly Early, who is 3-2 with a 3.16 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 42.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last seven games following a home loss.
- The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have lost the first inning in five of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against the Red Sox.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Braves’ last five games.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Red Sox’s last 11 night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight games.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Spencer Strider has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 24 of his last 32 home appearances.
- Dominic Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against former teams.
- Matt Olson ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.629) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (237).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (407).
- The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.354).
- The Red Sox rank T28th in the league for runs scored this season (161).
Braves vs Red Sox Prediction
Atlanta had their winning streak snapped in their last game against the Cubs, but they have been one of the best teams in the MLB to start the season. The Braves are 14-7 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 10-11 on the road. Boston has lost three of their last four games and they have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Red Sox are starting Early, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, while Strider has allowed three earned runs over 9.1 innings in two starts. Take the Braves here, as I don’t trust the Boston offense.