In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 30, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox (27-31, 11-17 Away) split the series with the Baltimore Orioles and were swept by the Milwaukee Brewers, resulting in a five-game losing streak, their longest of the season. The final two losses to the Brewers were in extra innings, including the most recent one, 6-5. In that defeat, Rafael Devers led the offense with two RBI, while Brayan Bello pitched for 4.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs (one earned) on three hits with two strikeouts and two walks. Justin Slaten took the loss.
This year, the Red Sox average 4.74 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .252/.325/.419 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Red Sox’s staff has a 3.99 ERA (18th) and 1.34 WHIP (21st). Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with a .287 batting average, 12 home runs, and 50 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Rockies is Lucas Giolito, who is 1-1 in five starts this season, with a 5.27 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 27.1 innings.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves (26-29, 16-9 Home) have lost three consecutive series since they beat the Boston Red Sox two weeks ago. The Braves were swept by the Nationals and lost to the Padres and Phillies. They did manage to avoid a sweep with a 9-3 win over Philadelphia on Thursday. Austin Riley led the team with four RBI, while Chris Sale got the win after allowing no runs on two hits with eight strikeouts and three walks across 6.0 innings of work.
This season, the Braves average 4.16 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .248/.321/.391 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.71 ERA (11th) and 1.25 WHIP (13th). Austin Riley leads the Braves with a .280 batting average, nine home runs, and 32 RBI this season.
Grant Holmes will take the mound for the Braves on Friday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 3-3 record in ten starts this year with a 3.68 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 58.2 innings.
Why the Braves will beat the Red Sox
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven road games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have won 14 of their last 15 night games at Truist Park following a road win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last nine Friday games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Red Sox’s last six road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the last three games between the Red Sox and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Braves’ last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Red Sox’s last five games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 23rd in the league for steals this season (33).
- The Braves rank 10th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.234).
- The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (522).
- The Red Sox are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
Braves vs Red Sox Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H duels. This season, the Braves won two of three games in Boston, and the same starters started one of those games. Although the Red Sox won that game 7-6, Lucas Giolito allowed six runs. He registered a quality start before and after that game, but has been rather inconsistent this year, and I think he’ll struggle again against the Braves. Giolito allowed a .375 BA in 64 at-bats against Atlanta. Grant Holmes, on the other hand, recorded three straight quality starts, during which he allowed four runs. He allowed a .150 BA in 20 at-bats against the Red Sox. I am going with Atlanta.