The Boston Red Sox and the Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Boston Red Sox will send out Garrett Crochet for the start in this one and Crochet is 4-4 with a 2.04 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. In his career, Crochet is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 16 strikeouts against Atlanta.
Boston Red Sox Recap
The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to bounce back after a 5-0 loss at the hands of the Braves in Saturday’s matchup to slip to 28-32 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head home for a series against the Los Angeles Angels.
Red Sox Drop 6 Of Their Last 7
Alex Bregman leads the Red Sox with 59 hits including a team-high 17 doubles along with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs while Rafael Devers has added 64 hits with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 52 RBIs this season. Trevor Story’s added 47 hits with 7 home runs, 23 RBIs and 9 stolen bases while Jarren Duran has 69 hits with 13 doubles, 6 triples, 4 home runs, 34 RBIs and a team-high 13 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell’s added 42 hits with 8 doubles, 5 homers and 16 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 13 home runs with 29 RBIs and 4 stolen bases and Ceddanne Rafaela has 3 homers, 2 triples, 20 RBIs and 7 stolen bases this season.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Red Sox have won four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a win.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six Sunday games as road favorites.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has recorded two RBIs in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight day games.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against NL opponents.
- Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Garrett Crochet ranks 5th in the league for total Strikeouts (89) this season.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Red Sox on Saturday to improve to 27-30 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head hoem for a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Braves Looking To Win Rubber Match
Austin Riley leads the Braves with 63 hits including 9 home runs, 32 RBIs and 10 doubles but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 69 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 52 hits with 6 home runs and 22 RBIs in addition to 5 stolen bases and Matt Olson has 50 hits with 10 doubles, 12 home runs and 30 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 50 hits with 9 home runs and 24 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 49 hits with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 3 home runs and 32 RBIs and 9 stolen bases as well and Nick Allen has 6 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven road games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have won four of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in three of the Braves’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last seven day games.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Marcell Ozuna ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.426) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the last five games between the Red Sox and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction
I’m on the Red Sox here. I get the case to be made for Atlanta because it’s not often that you’ll see the Braves as a home underdog. However, the Braves haven’t been great against lefties this season and Crochet has been one of the better lefties in the game. Boston hasn’t been playing great as of late, but I think Crochet comes up big as the stopper here and gets the W for the Red Sox. Give me Boston here.