In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 22nd at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 92-64 this year after they swept the Astros in three games by scores of 6-2, 6-3, and 4-2. In game three, Atlanta scored four runs in the sixth inning, which was enough to get the win. The Braves recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Yastrzemski, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Perez allowed six hits and one earned run over 4.1 innings, while Mederos got the win and Dodd picked up the save. Prior to that series, Atlanta lost two out of three against the Cubs, but did win two out of three against the Phillies before that.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.61 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they have scored 722 runs with a .248 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 40 home runs and 89 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 24 home runs and 77 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is JR Ritchie, who is 1-3 with a 5.03 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 62.2 innings pitched this year.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 72-84 this season after they lost two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 6-4, 2-5, and 1-9. In game three, Cincinnati cut the deficit to 5-1 in the fourth inning, but allowed the last four runs for the loss. The Reds recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Bleday, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Lowder allowed six hits and five earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Spiers allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Cincinnati lost three out of four against the Dodgers and two out of three against the Brewers.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.89 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 642 runs with a .229 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 32 home runs and 110 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 28 home runs and 74 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brandon Williamson, who is 4-4 with a 5.56 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 43.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last four road games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have won five of their last six home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Reds.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Braves have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have won four of their last six games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Reds have covered the run line each of their last eight games at Truist Park against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games against NL opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last six games against NL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Reds’ last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Reds’ last 10 games against NL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Braves’ last four home games against NL opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves’ last three games against the Reds.
- Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last nine games.
- Matt Olson ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (40) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Sal Stewart has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last five road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Williamson has recorded three or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
- JJ Bleday has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.515) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (12).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (450).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (1184).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.229).
Braves vs Reds Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have scored six runs in three of those five. The Braves are 51-27 at home this year, while the Reds are 34-41 on the road. Cincinnati has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 22 runs in those three losses. The Reds are starting Williamson, who has allowed five earned runs in his last 10.1 innings, while Ritchie has allowed 6, 2, and 3 earned runs in his last three outings. Take the over here.