In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 29th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 21-9 this year after they won game one by a score of 5-2 last night. Atlanta scored the first five runs in the game and they cruised to the easy victory. The Braves recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Albies, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Perez allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Bummer allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Phillies and three out of four against the Nationals.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.09 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and a .210 opponent batting average, while they have scored 171 runs with a .274 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Drake Baldwin has led the Braves with seven home runs and 25 RBIs, while Matt Olson has added eight home runs and 26 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is JR Ritchie, who is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 7.0 innings pitched this year.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 15-15 this season after they lost game one by a score of 5-2 on Tuesday night. Detroit couldn’t find any offense for most of the game, but they scored twice in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Tigers recorded six hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Perez, who went 1-2 with one home run and two RBIs in the game. Mize allowed three hits and two earned runs over 2.1 innings for the loss, while Holton allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Detroit lost two out of three against the Reds, but did win two out of three against the Brewers before that.
This season, Detroit has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 134 runs with a .251 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with five home runs and 19 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added three home runs and 17 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 3-2 with a 2.72 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 36.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last nine games against the Tigers.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last seven games against the Braves following a loss.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
- The Tigers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against the Tigers.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against the Tigers.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The favorites have won each of the Tigers’ last six games at Truist Park.
- The Braves have lost nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against American League opponents following a win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as home underdogs following a win.
- The favorites have covered the run line in five of the Braves’ last six games.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Braves’ last 10 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Tigers’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Tigers’ last nine night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Braves’ last six games against AL Central opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four games as home underdogs.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 13 home games.
- Ozzie Albies ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (37) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last five games as favorites.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 11 games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Kevin McGonigle ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.327) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (171).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (285).
- The Tigers rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (59).
- The Tigers rank 29th in the league for steals this season (9).
Braves vs Tigers Prediction
Detroit comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and they have allowed at least five runs in those three losses. The Tigers are 5-13 on the road this year, while the Braves are 11-5 at home. Atlanta has scored at least five runs in five straight games, but they are facing Skubal, who is one of the best pitchers in the game. Detroit will go against Ritchie, who pitched very well against Washington in his first start. The Braves are the better team, but we are getting Skubal at a very good price. Take the Tigers here.