In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 19th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 6-13 this season after they won game one in this series by a score of 6-4 on Friday night. Atlanta trailed 4-0 in the fourth inning, but they scored the last six runs in the game for the huge comeback win. The Braves recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Harris II and Baldwin, who both had two RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Elder, who allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings, while De Los Santos threw 1.2 innings and picked up the win.
Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Rays. Atlanta has lost four of their last seven games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 67 runs with a .223 batting average and a .302 on base percentage this year. Austin Riley has led Atlanta with five home runs and 12 RBIs, while Ozzie Albies has added four home runs and 11 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 0-2 with a 6.63 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 19.0 innings pitched this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 7-13 this year after they fell apart in the game one loss on Friday. Minnesota was cruising in the game with a 4-0 lead in the fifth and a 4-1 lead in the eighth, but they allowed five runs in the bottom of the eighth for the loss. The Twins recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Julien, Larnach, Jeffers, and Keaschall, who all had one RBI in the loss. Minnesota started Paddack, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Jax allowed two hits and four earned runs over 0.1 innings in the loss.
Prior to this series, the Twins won two out of three against the Mets, but did lose two out of three against the Tigers before that. Minnesota has won three of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 70 runs with a .214 batting average and a .283 on base percentage this season. Harrison Bader has led Minnesota with three home runs and 12 RBIs, while Byron Buxton has added three home runs and eight RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 1-1 with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Braves will beat the Twins
- The Braves have won each of their last 11 games against the Twins following a win.
- The Twins have lost 12 of their last 13 games against the Braves following a loss.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Twins.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against the Twins.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against the Twins.
- The Braves have won the first inning in four of their last five night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Braves’ last 11 home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Twins’ last nine road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight home games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Twins’ last seven road games against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ozzie Albies has recorded an RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Chris Sale has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has scored a run in each of the Braves’ last seven home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Bryan De La Cruz has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances against the Twins.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Carlos Correa has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one Double in each of the Twins’ last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Ryan Jeffers has recorded an RBI in each of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Carlos Correa has scored a run in each of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Braves vs Twins Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup well below .500 early in the season, but Atlanta should have plenty of momentum after that comeback win on Friday. The Braves are 4-2 at home, while the Twins are 3-8 on the road. Minnesota is starting Woods Richardson, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his three starts, but doesn’t last very deep into games. Atlanta is going with Chris Sale, who has not had much success this season, but has also pitched against the Dodgers, Phillies, and Padres. I think Sale will have a bounce back effort here against this Minnesota lineup and I like the Braves to win by at least two runs.